Tracking the Tropics: Something Is Stirring in the Southern Caribbean

We are watching two areas of clouds and low pressure for possible tropical development over the next few days.

The most likely candidate is a tropical disturbance–a group of thunderstorms–in the southern Caribbean Sea.  Hurricane Hunters will investigate this system today.  The National Hurricane Center gives this disturbance a 90% chance of developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm as it moves northward toward the Gulf of Mexico.  Computer model forecasts indicate that whatever this system may become, it approaches the central Gulf Coast–our neighborhood–over the weekend.  It’s important to remember that right now this is just a suspicious bunch of clouds and low pressure.  Still, use this early outlook to make a plan for what you will do if a tropical system heads here Saturday or Sunday.

Another area of clouds and low pressure near the southern tip of Florida has a very low–less than 10%–chance turning into a tropical depression as it drifts westward.



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