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The disturbance near the Bahama’s or known as Invest 99L is still a disorganized area of low pressure. Currently and over the next 24 hours or so it will be moving through an environment that is not conducive for tropical development. That being said, the National Hurricane Center gives it a MEDIUM chance of formation within the next 5 days. Until Invest 99L gets a defined center circulation the forecast models will struggle, think of it as bad data in, bad data out. Currently model tracks do take the area of low pressure into the Gulf, but there is a lot of disagreement on whether or not it will develop into a named storm. Right now it is impossible to tell even if does develop how strong it will get. Right now what we do know is that some place along the Gulf Coast will most likely see a lot of rain from this system, but once again can’t say for sure where. In terms of timing we wouldn’t see anything affect the northern Gulf Coast until by mid-week so there is still time.
Tropical storm Gaston continues to churn in the central Atlantic. Poses no threat to the mainland US.
There is a tropical wave east of the Mid-Atlantic states and over the next few days has a 30% chance of formation.
There is a tropical wave coming off Africa that has a LOW chance of formation in the next 5 days.
Local Forecast –
While things are active in the tropics, things back at home have been fairly quiet. Tonight expect more of the same. Maybe a passing shower early this evening, but tonight partly cloudy skies with lows in the mid 70s.
For you Sunday we will see our rain chances go back to about average. That means during the day and late afternoon there will be a decent chance for seeing rain and maybe a thunderstorm. Highs will continue to be in the lower 90s under partly sunny skies.
Next week will see a similar pattern to Sunday, however with what is going on in the tropics that is subject to change by mid to late week. Once again stay tuned to News 5 for the latest.
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